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2018 NFL Draft - Mock Draft - Buffalo Bills Draft - Rankings

10/30/18 Draft Thoughts




Mike Watkins


@merk256


10/30/18


 

-The DK Metcalf injury will be something to follow. It’s been described as something similar to what former Clemson WR Mike Williams had. That injury cost Williams a year but he returned to be a top 10 draft pick. With Metcalf I don’t think I would take the same route as Williams. I would enter the draft. He is a raw prospect, the draft is lacking at the top at his position, and I do not think he was going to be selected in the top 10 like many were projecting. He is a tremendous athlete with soft hands but to put it bluntly, he is a horrendous route runner and has a lot to learn about actually playing the position. I would rather rehab at an NFL facility collecting checks than going back to college to risk further injury

 

-Nick Bosa is another player that had injury issues this year and in a very smart move decided to bag it and start preparing for his NFL future. This will have zero impact on his draft stock and will not be available past pick 3 in this draft. He is scheme fluid and is very comfortable in both the 7 and 9 tech. You’d be hard pressed to find a true hole in Bosa’s game. Expect him to selected high if not the first pick overall

 

-Ryan Finley of NC State is not a first round prospect, he’s not a day 2 Prospect either. In fact I think he could even end up being a UDFA. I wouldn’t even consider him before round 6 and I think he’ll have a tough go of it sticking anywhere in the NFL. The arm strength is severely lacking and there is nothing he does that I would consider a Sunday attribute

 

-Emanuel Hall of Missouri has missed some time with injuries but even with that I am not seeing a day two pick. I think his hands are questionable and is looking more like a day 3.

 

-I have been lagging behind on Winovich from Michigan. After watching him more closely the past couple weeks I think he plays a lot like current Buffalo Bills DE Jerry Hughes. He is explosion off the ball and is relentless with his pass rush. What stood out to me though is that much like Hughes he is a sneaky good run defender.

 

-Derwin Gray from Maryland is a name to follow on day 3. I don’t think he’ll ever be a 16 game starter but I think he can be a quality back up for a decade in the league. I like him on the right side at either OT or OG

 

 -Jabri Zungia may actually end up being a better Sunday player than his Florida teammate J.Polite. He is not as explosive but has better measurables and similar production

 

-Byron Murphy from Washington will face questions about his height and some teams will actually remove him from their boards due to it. Which is insane given that pound for pound he is the most fluid cover corner in the country. His ability to anticipate and counter WR’s is very impressive for a player that is only a red shirt sophomore

 

-Dwayne Haskins of Ohio State will have an interesting decision to make. Right now if he declares he’ll be a first rounder. Not necessarily because he’s currently a first round talent but because he is trending that way and there is currently only one 1stround caliber QB who may declare in Herbert. I’ve come around on Haskins and to be honest if I were him I would declare. He can make all the throws and has displayed some good accuracy. His ideal situation would be to land with an offensive minded HC with an entrenched QB who has a year or two left.

 

-I’ve been saying it since the summer. Montez Sweat is a top 10 player in this upcoming draft, and, he’s not as far behind Nick Bosa as some think

 

-One DE who is listed as a first rounder in some place and is not is Jalen Jelks from Oregon. Andre Dillard from Washington State who is a 1strounder in my opinion had little to no trouble with him and you wouldn’t even know Jelks was on the field

 

-I predict that Juan Thornhill from Virginia will be the safety that no one is talking about as a first rounder and then all of a sudden he’s picked in the late first and a GM looks very smart for doing so. Thornhill is as tough as they come and has a knack for being around the ball


-If LJ Scott from Michigan State could stay healthy he would be a solid day 2 pick. He could easily be an instant contributing 3rd down back but his injury history will likely make teams shy away until day 3

 

-At the other notable college in Michigan, Karan Higdon is a player I like a lot. I don’t like him in the sense that I think he can be a feature back. I do like him as a guy who can take some carries to lessen the load and get you through a month if need be

 

-A lot of places have still have Zach Allen from Boston College as a top 20 player. I’m still at a fringe first for him.

 

-Winner of one of the best names in college football goes to Rock Ya-Sin from Temple. He also happens to be one of the best CB’s that you have yet to hear about. He has prototypical size and athleticism for a CB. He plays with good balance and has very fluid hips. He can have issues with tracking the ball and finishing the INT but he is always in the play and more than a willing run supporter. Some have him as a late day 3 UDFA but I have a late day 2 on him currently

 

-Zack Moss RB from Utah. Remember that name. He’ll be used as an example as to why you do not use first round picks on RB’s. He is excellent in 2 areas that I value very high in RB’s Agility and Balance

 

-A name to remember at WR, Kelvin McKnight from Samford. The kid is electric with very good ball skills

 

 -Couple other Burner WR’s I think have a chance but still need to learn the finer points of the position are Alex Wesley from Northern Colorado and Mecole Hardman from Georgia


-The top dog as far as deep and electric threats at WR goes is Marquise Brown from Oklahoma. The official website list him at a 5’10” which is a pretty liberal measurement. I would guess he’s 5-8. In any case Brown has that rare speed where he can eliminate pursuit angles. That is rarefied air in terms of play speed. Currently Tyreek Hill has that type of speed on Sundays. I don’t think he is Hill but he should be able to contribute. His stature will be an issue though no matter how you want to spin it


-Nick Fitzgerald is not a Sunday QB, in fact he’s barely a Saturday one. I do however like him as a Priority UDFA at Safety. It’ll take some time and development but I think he could actually be a decent one.

 

-One of my favorite players to watch in college and I think he’ll be really good in the NFL is Mitchell Wilcox of South Florida. He has the best hands of any TE in the country and he runs excellent routes. His run blocking is average at best but I believe he can be a Dallas Clark like player on the next level




October Top 5's



















Mike Watkins

@merk256

10/17/18


QB

1. Justin Herbert, Oregon

2. Will Grier, West Virginia

3. Daniel Jones, Duke

4. Drew Lock, Missouri

5. Dwayne Haskins, Ohio State

  

 

RB

1. Bennie Snell, Kentucky

2. Bryce Love, Stanford

3. Damien Harris, Alabama

4. Dexter Williams, Notre Dame

5. Devin Singletary, Florida Atlantic

 

 

WR

1. Kelvin Harmon, N.C. State

2. K’Neal Harry, Arizona State

3. A.J. Brown, Ole Miss

4. D.K. Metcalf, Ole Miss

5. Tyre Brady, Marshall

 

  

TE

1. Noah Fant, Iowa

2. Kaden Smith, Stanford

3. Albert Okwuegbunam, Missouri

4. C.J. Conrad, Kentucky

5. Logan Parker, Southern Utah

 

  

OT

1. Jonah Williams, Alabama

2. David Edwards, Wisconsin

3. Greg Little, Ole Miss

4. Yodny Cajuste, West Virginia

5. A.Dillard, Washington State

*Trey Adams, Washington(Left off for now until the back injury shakes out) 

 

 

IOL

1. Chris Lindstrom, Boston College

2. Michael Deiter, Wisconsin

3. Elgton Jenkins, Mississippi State

4. Tyler Biadasz, Wisconsin

5. Michael Jordan, Ohio State

 

  

DT

1. Ed Oliver, Houston

2. Raekwon Davis, Alabama

3. Derrick Brown, Auburn

4. Jeffrey Simmons, Mississippi State

5. Christian Wilikins, Clemson

 

  

DE

1. Nick Bosa, Ohio State

2. Montez Sweet, Ole Miss

3. Clelin Ferrell, Clemson

4. Jachai Polite, Florida

5. Jaylon Ferguson, Louisiana Tech

 

 

LB

1. Josh Allen, Kentucky

2. Devin Bush, Michigan

3. Devin White, LSU

4. T.J. Edwards, Wisconsin

5. Te’von Coney, Notre Dame

 

 

CB

1. Greedy Williams, LSU

2. DeAndre Baker, Georgia

3. Byron Murphy, Washington

4. Trayvon Mullen, Clemson

5. Kendall Sheffield, Ohio State

 

  

S

1. Deionte Thompson, Alabama

2. Johnathan Abram, Mississippi State

3. Lukas Denis, Boston College

4. Taylor Rapp, Washington

5. Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, Florida

10/15/18 Draft Thoughts

Mike Watkins

@merk256

10/15/18



-Zach Gentry TE from Michigan is more of the traditional TE from the 90’s . He’s not really a seem buster or going to lead his team in receptions. What he will be is a very good blocker and a reliable safety valve for a QB. For some reason the NFL has moved away from this style of player at the position.


-Jalen Hurd from Baylor will likely be one of the more debated players in the pre-draft. The potential is there to have an impact for a team in a lot of different spots. He’s made it pretty clear he does not want to be a RB and will only do it if its needed in game or on a few predetermined plays. I like him and think he can add a different flavor to an offense. He has a lot of Percy Harvin to him


-Drew Lock will be the 2019 QB that will be all over the board. I have an early 2ndon him. He makes a lot of mental errors and throws that definitely are questionable. He has a lot physically what you look for so that should keep his stock relatively high.


-One of my favorite players in this draft is David Edwards from Wisconsin. He plays RT now but definitely has the length and the feet to play on the left side. He had some issues with leverage last year which he has cleaned up this year. He reminds me a lot of Lane Johnson. He is a day one plug and play forget about it for a decade player at OT


-Edwards running mate at Wisconsin, Michael Deiteris another plug and play player. He’s light on his feet and is a violent player that you like to see on the inside. He knows how to handle counters and is light on his feet which helps him get to the second level for spring blocks. He’ll be a late first early day two player and be solid from the start


-Josh Allen from Kentucky came into the season with the reputation of being a wrecking ball. That reputation has not been tarnished at all. Teams running a 3-4 will be especially high on him


-When You do watch Kentucky another player on that defense pops off the screen and that is Mike Edwards. He is a tough back end Safty who flies to the ball. Some teams may also look at him as a nickle CB do to his ability in the box


-Deebo Samuel is a good South Carolina WR who plays with a RB’s mentality. His best attribute is his YAC ability. Once Samuel has the ball in his hands he immediately attacks the field as if he were a RB. He has very good balance and vision for a WR


-Juan Thornhill, Virginia, is listed as a CB in a lot of places but I actually like him more at the S position. I think he can play both in a zone scheme. He has a nose for the ball and is aggressive in his play. It’ll be interesting to see what position he gets drafted for


-Marquise Blair from Utah is a player you don’t hear a lot of about but I’m a big fan. He has good length and instincts. I have him as a day 3 player that I think could surprise. He’s well rounded and he is a violent player


-Jonah Williams from Alabama will be the first OL off the board barring injury. The guy is an absolute machine who has experience on both sides. He is so far ahead of every player he faces from a mental standpoint that its almost not fair. He is an absolute technician who has an elite football IQ and mental process speed. He knows the double move is coming before the DE even knows he’s going to do it.


-I see Vanderbilt CB Joejuan Williams listed as a day 3 player in some places and I don’t get it. For me he’s easily a 2ndrounder and zone teams will be especially high on him. He is an ultra aggressive CB with excellent measurables and length. Now the aggression can sometimes get him in trouble which is why I think zone is a better fit for him.


-Williams teammate OT Justin Skule is a player that doesn’t get as much attention as he should. He he been very consistent and reliable for Vanderbilt. He won’t go in the first but he’ll be a day two pick and reminds me a lot of S.Vollmer


-Most of Kansas spends their time counting the days until the Jayhawks start back up when it comes to college sports. Despite that they do have an NFL talent of the defensive side of the ball by the name of Daniel Wise. I don’t think he’s a starter but I think he would make a good rotational 3 tech or possibly a 5tech on a 3-4


-As it stands right now, and obviously a lot can change as I watch more players at the position, Elgton Jenkinsis the only Center I can see having a shot at being a first rounder. He has been a rock in the middle of the Mississippi State OL. He is stout at the POA but I also like how he gets to the 2ndlevel and can engage moving targets to open lanes.

10/8/18 Draft Thoughts


















Mike Watkins

@merk256

10/08/18

 

-I’ve been leading this train since last year though more and more people are coming around, Will Grier is a first round QB. He does a lot of the things I like a QB to do. Great ball placement, throws WR’s open, and has an easy motion. He has some trouble with accuracy on the deep routes but I think that will steadily improve

 

-I go back and forth on Danny Tranquill LB from Notre Dame and how he translates to Sundays. The fact that he’s good in coverage is going to make him appealing as more and more LB’s with that Safety background are getting drafted higher and higher. I question his instincts sometimes. I have him as an early day 3 right now

 

-DE Zach Allen from Boston College is a prospect most have in the top 25. He impacts the game in a lot of ways and his physical size will make him scheme versatile. One thing I like about him is he makes an effort to always get his hands up if he is going to come up short on his pass rush. That said, I see a jack of all trades master of none. He reminds me of Shaq Lawson. I have a mid 2nd on him

 

-Stated over the weekend that K.Boyd, CB, from Texas is one of the best zone CB’s in college and I don’t see that changing. He’s a player that really needs to be drafted into the right system. He can play a heavy man scheme but it would not be his ideal fit. I also wouldn’t be surprised if some teams viewed him as a FS

 

-If you are looking to add a Chris Jones type player to your defense Renell Wren from Arizona State is your guy. He is lightning quick off the ball and lives to eat up Centers. He can disappear at times and definitely needs work on his technique but there is a lot to work with there. He’ll make noise at the combine

 

-I’ve checked out on Jarrett Stidham being a first round QB. He’s not and honestly I would rate him as a late day 2 prospect or a team could just save themselves the trouble and go sign Paxton Lynch because that is basically what you would be getting

 

-So K’Neal Harry of Arizona State burst onto the scene early in the season. A lot of people took notice and as often happens started way overrating him. I even saw a couple places that had him as a top 5 pick. He’s not that guy. What he is, is a mid first rounder with some good potential on a team looking to add size and contested catch ability to their WR core. His 40 will be a very important number along with his showing in the agility drills

 

-C.Wilkins has somehow gotten lost on the Clemson DL. I still view him as the best player on that front 4 and the most likely to succeed on Sunday. He has an incredible football IQ to go along with experience at the 0 tech all the way out to the 7 tech. that is rare for any DL. He lands in a 1 gap system and he is going to continue his wrecking ball ways with his go to rip and dip move

 

-I made it a point to watch Jachai Polite of Florida this weekend and while he leads something to be desired in the run, more of an effort player there at this point, he is a dynamic pass rusher. He launches off the ball every play. That sometimes can get him into trouble but with his bend and athletic skills he recovers so fast you barely notice if he’s out of position

 

-IOL Hjalte Frohodlt from Arkansas gets a lot of praise from the analytic crowd but I really don’t see what they are seeing. He has very good feet and does a good job at the second level. I don’t see a mean streak to him which is odd considering he started his football career on defense. I think he needs a lot of work at the POA and run blocking. If you are a team that likes to do a lot of pulls and screens then you’ll likely be higher on him. If you want a mauler who is going to open up wide lanes or hammer opening pass rushers you’ll be lower on him

 

-Damien Harris from Alabama is pretty much a Thomas Jones clone, and that is by no means a knock. 3 Down RB from the jump

 

-One player who keeps popping off the screen during Arkansas games is LB Dre Greenlaw. He is the definition of see ball get ball. He is not going to be every teams cup of tea at LB given his size but for teams that love their LB’s to drop into zone and flow to the ball he is going to get a lot of love

 

-WR Tyre Brady from Marshall is going to make a GM look very smart. This kid just makes plays. He has great hands and runs great routes. When you watch Marshall play he is clearly their best player and is often the best player on the field for either tea. Very big fan of his

 

-Elon OL Olisaemeka Udoh is a player to watch if you are looking for OL to develop into starters down the road. He’s an OT now but I would imagine his future is at OG given that he likely doesn’t have the feet to stay out on the island on Sundays. He’s a 4 year starter and will be a project. I really like his measurable though, especially his long arms. Which if he can Improve his hand tech will be extremely valuable

 

-A lot of people seem to think West Virginia OT Yodny Cajuste is destined for the OG position. I am not one of them. I think he projects far better on the outside. I think his length and feet will be an asset on Sundays while he continues to add strength. I liken him a lot to Duane Brown

 

-Next time you watch an Ole Miss game watch the TE number 9 Dawson Knox. You are going to start to notice that he is routinely open yet they never get him the ball due to what they have at WR. His stats do not tell the whole story of the talent I think he has. He’s going to be a great find for a team on day 3 if he declares

10/2/18 Draft Thoughts



















Mike Watkins

@merk256

10/02/18

 

 

-Week after week Greedy Williams of LSU keeps stepping up to the plate. Ole Miss has a pretty good trio of WR’s and Williams met the challenge and showed why he was easily the best player on the field. He’s definitely locked into the top 10 barring injury and possibly the top 5 depending on what teams are slotted there

 

-Dexter Williams, RB, Notre Dame decided to jump onto the scene in the primetime game against Stanford. He missed the first few weeks of the season due to undisclosed reasons. His fresh legs showed up big time in what has now become a very good Notre Dame offense. He’s the type of running back I prefer. Compact with good agility and balance to go along with a one cut and go mentality

 

-Noah Fant is the clear cut TE1 at the moment, but if there is one TE that could challenge him its Kaden Smith from Stanford. While he didn’t have his best game against Notre Dame he is a well rounded TE in the mold of a Jason Witten.

 

-Tweeners are always going to have a tough go of it when its time to play on Sundays unless they are off the charts athletic. Malik Reed from Nevada is not that but he is still very much a draftable player. He moved from the DL to the OLB spot in a 3-4 which has actually helped him be more impactful. It also exposes him to the style of defense that he’ll be the best fit for on Sundays. I have him as a day 3 player right now that will immediately play on special teams and then likely grab some playing time in obvious passing situation

 

-Ka’Dar Hollman, CB from Toledo is a player I like more and more. He is physical at the LOS and fights every play. He’s an early day 3 player for me right now. I imagine teams that run zone heavy schemes and ask their CB’s to be active in run support will be high on him.

 

-I said it on Saturday and I’ll keep saying it, I don’t think Nick Bosa plays another snap at Ohio State and he shouldn’t. He is a top 5 draft pick out the door right now and nothing will change that except a major injury.

 

-I tend to be higher on WR’s that have excellent football IQ’s and who run excellent routes. Van Jefferson from Florida meets both of those qualifications. I have him as a late day 2 guy and a plug and play WR in the slot

 

-He’s coming off a pretty Significant injury but I do Like Tennessee LB Darrin Kirkland Jr. Good against the run and strong at the POA. He’s 40 will be very important  

 

-The more I watch Montez Sweat from Mississippi State the more I like him. He plays mostly the 7 tech but they move him around everywhere and he never stops moving until the echo of the whistle. He needs some tech refinement and could add some more power to his game but there is a lot to like about him

 

-Another DL player to keep an eye on is Michael Dogbe from Temple. He’s an ideal fit for a 3-4 DE or for 4-3 teams who like to have bigger DE’s. Very high motor kid go

 

-Te’von Coney from Notre Dame keeps getting more and more attention, as he should. He keeps answering the bell game in and game out. He reminds me of a taller version of London Fletcher

3 and 3



















Mike Watkins

@merk256

9/25/18

 

 

1.DeAndre Baker, CB, Georgia: When the season started I didn’t think anyone was capable of catching Greedy Williams from LSU as the top CB. Baker is closing that gap with week after week of outstanding play. Baker keeps impressing with a very well rounded skill set and a knack for playing big when the lights go bright

 

2.Jerry Tillery, DT, Notre Dame: Tillery is the rock on which Notre Dame’s good defense sits. Tillery has been as about as consistent as they come over his career with the Fighting Irish. He has a high football IQ and whether he is asked to control the LOS in the run game or penetrate for a pass rush he follows through. He is also scheme versatile which will make him an attractive target in April. I’ve often compared him to former Jaguars and Bills standout DT Marcus Stroud and I won’t be coming off that comp anytime soon

 

3.Noah Fant, TE, Iowa: When it comes to the 2019 Draft and the TE position its Noah Fant and then everyone else. In fact I think he is going to be the best TE to come out and either this year’s draft or last years. He can impact the game in all areas and shows a skill set NFL teams will want. Fant pulls away from the pack week after week

 

 

3 Thoughts

 

-I would rank the current QB class as above average. It has a top 5 prospect in Herbert and then likely 3 others who will land in the first round. You will not see 4 go in the top 10 as we did in 2018 but I expect teams to jockey for the QB of their liking in the first round. I think Herbert will be the first player off the board in 2019. If a team is sitting there that doesn’t need a QB I would expect them to move out via a trade

 

-Any FA DL out there would be wise to sign very fast this offseason. I imagine the money will dry up quick in that area given this is likely the deepest DL draft that I can recall over the past 10 years. Its especially deep in the interior and that’s even if a few prospects do not declare. Even for teams that don’t want to spend a pick on a DL in the first couple rounds it will still help you as the amount of DL going will help push other positions down

 

-The Safety class is an interesting one a month in. There is no J.Adams or D.James but there is solid talent there. There should be a lot of jockeying for position over the next two months and leading up to the draft.

September Top 5's













Mike Watkins

@merk256

9/19/18

 

QB

1. Justin Herbert, Oregon

2. Will Grier, West Virginia

3. Jarrett Stidham, Auburn

4. Clayton Thorson, Northwestern

5. Drew Lock, Missouri

 

Day 2/3 Prospect I Like: Brett Rypien, Boise State

 

 

RB

1. Bryce Love, Stanford

2. Bennie Snell, Kentucky

3. L.J. Scott, Michigan State

4. Rodney Anderson, Oklahoma

5. Damien Harris, Alabama

 

Day 2/3 Prospect I Like: David Montgomery, Iowa State

 

WR

1. K’Neal Harry, Arizona State

2. A.J. Brown, Ole Miss

3. Anthony Johnson, Buffalo

4. Deebo Samuel, South Carolina

5. Emmanuel Hall, Missouri

 

Day 2/3 Prospect I Like: Jon’Vea Johnson, Toledo

 

TE

1. Noah Fant, Iowa

2. Kaden Smith, Stanford

3. Albert Okwuegbunam, Missouri

4. C.J. Conrad, Kentucky

5. Logan Parker, Southern Utah

 

Day 2/3 Prospect I Like: Charles Jones, Tulane

 

OT

1. Jonah Williams, Alabama

2. David Edwards, Wisconsin

3. Dalton Risner, Kansas State

4. Greg Little, Ole Miss

5. A.Dillard, Washington State

*Trey Adams, Washington(Left off for now until the back injury shakes out)

 

Day 2/3 Prospect I Like: Max Scharping, Northern Illinois

 

 

IOL

1. Chris Lindstrom, Boston College

2. Michael Jordan, Ohio State

3. Michael Deiter, Wisconsin

4. Darryl Williams, Mississippi State

5. Erik McCoy, Texas A&M

 

Day 2/3 Prospect I Like: Ben Powers, Oklahoma

 

DT

1. Ed Oliver, Houston

2. Jeffrey Simmons, Mississippi State

3. Derrick Brown, Auburn

4. Raekwon Davis, Alabama

5. Rashan Gary, Michigan

 

Day 2/3 Prospect I Like: Daylon Mack, Texas A&M

 

DE

1. Nick Bosa, Ohio State

2. Clein Ferrell, Clemson

3. Joe Jackson, Miami

4. Montez Sweet, Ole Miss

5. Zach Allen, Boston College

 

Day 2/3 Prospect I Like: Jaylon Ferguson, Louisiana Tech

 

LB

1. Devin White, LSU

2. T.J. Edwards, Wisconsin

3. Te’von Coney, Notre Dame

4. Anfernee Jennings, Alabama

5. Josh Allen, Kentucky

 

Day 2/3 Prospect I Like: Ulysees Gilbert, Akron

 

 

CB

1. Greedy Williams, LSU

2. Deandre Baker, Georgia

3. Blessuan Austin, Rutgers

4. Amani Oruwariye, Penn State

5. Kendall Sheffield, Ohio State

 

Day 2/3 Prospect I Like: Corey Ballentine, Washburn

 

 

S

1. Johnathan Abram, Mississippi State

2. Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, Florida

3. Lukas Denis, Boston College

4. Taylor Rapp, Washington

5. Marvell Tell, USC

 

Day 2/3 Prospect I Like: Chris Johnson, North Alabama

 

Early Look Preseason Top 5: DT


Mike Watkins

@merk256

6/29/18

 

 





DT


1.Ed Oliver, Houston

2.Christian Wilkins, Clemson

3.Rashan Gary, Michigan

4.Raekwon Davis, Alabama

5.Jeffrey Simmons, Mississippi State

 

Thoughts


-In a word, Loaded. Going into the season have 1st to fringe 1st round grades on 9 DT’s that will or might be in the 2019 draft class. That is an insane amount of talent for any positions let alone the DT position

 

-The Clear cut top player is Ed Oliver out of Houston. He would have been a top 5 pick this year and he will not get out of the top 5 this year. He is has a rare skill set for a DT and in a lot of ways reminds people of W.Sapp and A.Donald. As far as DT’s go those are the past and current pinnacles that every DT wants to be compared too


-Some people have Soured on Wilkins, I have not. He is still a first round talent and the player I would compare him to is Kyle Williams. Very good against the pass and the run. He can be a rock and a leader in the middle of your defense for a decade


-Simmons is more of a projection at this point. Athletically he is very gifted. Of the top 5 though I would not be surprised if he bailed on the 2019 draft. Doing so would allow him to be the top player at the position for 2020. That said I still think he’s a top 25 pick this year


-A player who could rise that is not currently in the top 5 is J.Tillary from Notre Dame. A very well rounded DT who makes a lot of impact even if it doesn’t show up on the stat sheet. He is a Marcus Stroud clone

Early Look Preseason Top 5: QB

Mike Watkins

@merk256

6/26/18

 







QB


1.Justin Herbert, Oregon

2.Will Grier, West Virginia

3.Clayton Thorson, Northwestern

4.Ryan Finley, N.C. State

5.Drew Lock, Missouri


Thoughts

-There will definitely be a lot of jockeying for position throughout the year. Much like this year’s class each player has their flaws and there is not a clear cut number one among them as of today. That said this is not going to be a down year for QB’s. That narrative has been false for a while now and there is a lot more talent in the class then it has been given credit for


-Drew Lock is the favorite for a lot of people right now but I’m not as sold on him as others. I think he needs a lot of work on his anticipation.


-Herbert flew under the radar for a lot of the year being on the West Coast and Oregon building back up their program. I liked a lot of what I saw though and of the top 5 if he puts it together and keeps progressing I think he’ll be the first one off the board. If I’m a betting man right now I would bet that Herbert is the top overall selection in the 2019 draft


-One player not listed that people should keep an eye on is S.Patterson from Michigan. The Ole Miss transfer has a lot of the traits you look for and Harbaugh has a decent track record of getting the most out of his QB’s. He could make a giant leap up boards


-Yes I know I have Will Grier higher than most, I’m not backing off it, I think he’s a gamer and Baker Mayfield’ish

5 and A Final: Post Minicamp

Mike Watkins

@merk256

6/20/18

 

 

 

1.The QB Competition: The Bills are doing the right thing with Josh Allen in that they are starting with the base principles of the mechanics of being a QB and building up from there. Most teams likely wouldn’t do that. That plan though is going to take time. The Bills get lucky with the schedule as far as QB development goes. With 5 of the first 7 games on the road I would much rather have McCarron/Peterman navigate that then a young Josh Allen. Then if they decide to make a shift say at the halfway point you have the advantage of a young QB playing home games in 5 of the last 8. This plan however needs to get scrapped if Josh Allen clearly wins the job in camp. I don’t think there is any right way or wrong way to bring a rookie QB into the NFL. It’s a case by case basis. You let the player tell you through his play. If he is clearly the best of the 3 and his teammates see it, you are doing him and the team an injustice by not starting him

 

 

2.DL: The Bills, ever since the Mario Williams signing, have made the DL an area where the team can hang its hat on. It had some down years here and there but I would expect a resurgence this year. While a lot of the national media is paying attention to the offense and its issues the Bills put together a deep talented DL with players that fit together. They have also set up a situation where they can come at opposing teams in waves. The most striking difference should be in the middle of the DL. At the minimum they have acquired players that will occupy opposing IOL and allow the edge DL and LB’s to make plays. Not allowing QB’s to step up into the pocket is big against Tom Brady but any elite QB. This season will likely be largely determined by the performance of this specific unit while the Bills sort out the QB situation

 

 

3.The OL: This is likely to be an issue especially early. Dawkins looks like he’s a rock at LT but the other 4 spots are going to be questions marks across the board. The Bills will have to hope that at least two of their young players step up to the plate and take advantage of the opportunity. Ideally the OL combination I’m rooting for is from left to right Dawkins, Teller, Groy, Miller, McDermott

 

 

4.The Secondary: Expect the secondary to be good again and actually be better. Losing EJ Gaines hurts a little bit but the Bills have assembled a more complete group this year. V.Davis gives the Bills a good CB to start on the other side of White as well as a better option to match up against bigger more physical WR’s. P.Gaines much like EJ Gaines last year finds himself in a defense that is a far better fit for his skill set then his previous defense. Johnson and Borders will provide solid depth and I expect a good camp battle between R.Carter and L.Wallace to round out the group

 

 

5.WR questions: So the Bills have a WR group that many label the worst in the NFL. I’d say that is a bit of a stretch but I can see why most are concerned about the group. I’m not as worried as many. The biggest issue I see with the group is the same issue I had last year, there is no legit vertical threat on the current roster. I think the Bills will be keeping their eyes open waiting for some type of burner to come across the waiver wire or maybe look for an in Training Camp trade. Looking on the roster they do have Benjamin and while he is not a true number one in the mold of AJ Green or Julio Jones he is arguable just a notch below them and opposing defenses have to account for him. Kerley is a legitimate slot WR and I think will be one of the better FA additions this year. Then the Bills have Zay Jones. He had an up and down year last year but the skill set is there to be a number 2 WR. This is where you have to trust your coaching to be able to get that out of him. There has to be some development process in Buffalo or it will be near impossible to get any type of roster consistency.

 

 

A Final: A lot of times teams play a lot of lip service to their first round picks during these spring camps. “Everyone is making progress”, “He’s farther along than we thought”, and “He’s making an impression”. Every once and awhile though you get a player where the coaches and more importantly the vets on the team dig a little deeper with the praise and it doesn’t seem like encouraging lip service. I sensed that with Tre White last year and I am again seeing it with T.Edmunds this year. I think Bills fans, if they were not excited already, should start to get excited about the potential Edmunds has in this defense. It’s been a bit of a revolving door in the Bills LB corps for a while now trying to unearth a sideline to sideline playmaking LB. They may have finally have found their guy in Edmunds

 

 

Josh Allen at the 2018 NFLPA Rookie Premier

Josh Allen is one of 8 QB's and the only Bills rookie to be invited to participate in the NFLPA Rookie Premier this week.


photo by buffalonews.com

2018 PFWR Big Board

2019 PFWR Rankings  
by Mike Watkins



QB

1. Justin Herbert, Oregon

2. Will Grier, West Virginia

3. Daniel Jones, Duke

4. Drew Lock, Missouri

5. Dwayne Haskins, Ohio State

  

 

RB

1. Bennie Snell, Kentucky

2. Bryce Love, Stanford

3. Damien Harris, Alabama

4. Dexter Williams, Notre Dame

5. Devin Singletary, Florida Atlantic

 

 

WR

1. Kelvin Harmon, N.C. State

2. K’Neal Harry, Arizona State

3. A.J. Brown, Ole Miss

4. D.K. Metcalf, Ole Miss

5. Tyre Brady, Marshall

 

  

TE

1. Noah Fant, Iowa

2. Kaden Smith, Stanford

3. Albert Okwuegbunam, Missouri

4. C.J. Conrad, Kentucky

5. Logan Parker, Southern Utah

 

  

OT

1. Jonah Williams, Alabama

2. David Edwards, Wisconsin

3. Greg Little, Ole Miss

4. Yodny Cajuste, West Virginia

5. A.Dillard, Washington State

*Trey Adams, Washington(Left off for now until the back injury shakes out) 

 

 

IOL

1. Chris Lindstrom, Boston College

2. Michael Deiter, Wisconsin

3. Elgton Jenkins, Mississippi State

4. Tyler Biadasz, Wisconsin

5. Michael Jordan, Ohio State

 

  

DT

1. Ed Oliver, Houston

2. Raekwon Davis, Alabama

3. Derrick Brown, Auburn

4. Jeffrey Simmons, Mississippi State

5. Christian Wilikins, Clemson

 

  

DE

1. Nick Bosa, Ohio State

2. Montez Sweet, Ole Miss

3. Clelin Ferrell, Clemson

4. Jachai Polite, Florida

5. Jaylon Ferguson, Louisiana Tech

 

 

LB

1. Josh Allen, Kentucky

2. Devin Bush, Michigan

3. Devin White, LSU

4. T.J. Edwards, Wisconsin

5. Te’von Coney, Notre Dame

 

 

CB

1. Greedy Williams, LSU

2. DeAndre Baker, Georgia

3. Byron Murphy, Washington

4. Trayvon Mullen, Clemson

5. Kendall Sheffield, Ohio State

 

  

S

1. Deionte Thompson, Alabama

2. Johnathan Abram, Mississippi State

3. Lukas Denis, Boston College

4. Taylor Rapp, Washington

5. Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, Florida