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Merk's Mock

Mike's Final 2017 NFL Mock Draft

Mike Watkins

@merk256

4-25-17



1.Browns: M.Garrett, DL, Texas A&M: I’m not saying he’s a lock but the Browns pretty much have to take him



2.49ers: J.Adams, S, LSU: They have one LSU Safety and I think they will add another. The Secondary is lacking talent across the board and Adams will fit nicely


3.Bears: M.Lattimore, CB, Ohio State: The Bears have been swinging and missing on a lot of CB’s and I think they will keep doing so until they hit. Lattimore has separated himself and I think the Bears finally hit


4.Jaguars: L.Fournette, RB, LSU: I have said this will be their selection since December. No reason to change it now


5.Titans: M.Hooker, S, Ohio State: I think they want Adams but Hooker will be a nice consolation prize


6.Jets: OJ Howard, TE, Alabama: They have nothing at the position and whatever young QB they toss out there Howard would be a nice asset


7.Chargers: F.Lamp, OL, Western Kentucky: Most will look at this as a reach but he’s the best OL in this draft and its not close. Keeping Rivers upright is the key to any Chargers success


8.Panthers: S.Thomas, DL, Panthers: I see a lot of McCaffrey here but I think the Panthers return to their roots and make the front 7 the identity of the team again


9.Bengals: J.Allen, DL, Alabama: Bengals tend to stay BPA and you can argue need here also


10.Bills: So realistically if it plays out like this I would expect the Bills to aggressively look to move down. The reality is they need more draft picks to fill out the roster. What they are looking for can be found in the teens and while adding some more selections.


Like I said in the previous mock id be more interested in Quanity over quality of picks. Making that move will not likely be easy given the fact of how deep the draft is. They do have some things working in their favor in that the Browns are two picks away and likely to take a QB. The Saints are likely to swipe a CB off the board so a team looking to hop them may be in play. So lets run down the positions


QB: I wouldn’t blame them if they did take a QB. The reality is you are spinning your wheels as a franchise until you feel you have the guy. I do not think they will be selecting one though. The visits to me were to try and get a team to move up ahead of them and push some players down. The QB class next year both from a possible FA standpoint and draft standpoint is looking to be so much better that the smart play would be to roll with Taylor and see what happens. Still if they do decide to pull the trigger I think it would be Trubisky.


RB: I just can not see them taking an RB. If they did I would think it would be McCaffrey and id be pretty happy with the player but not so much the position


TE: With Howard off the board I think this position because far less in play. Njoku would be a good fit for the Bills but I think he would be in the cluster of players they would look for after a move down.


OL: Again I don’t think there is a player worth taking at 10. An OT could be in play after a move down and it would be the logical position given the massive hole the Bills have at the position. Bolles seems to be the best fit for them to make an immediate impact


DL: Unless S.Thomas makes it down to 10 I can not seeing this being a serious consideration


LB: A guy like R.Foster would make a lot of sense but the issue is McDermott has made a lot of comments about character. Foster could not even keep it together for the 4 months before the draft. Are the Bills going to trust him to keep it together offseason after offseason? I tend to think not.

H.Reddick is an interesting name that has been linked to Buffalo. Reddick is definitely a playmaker but he is making a jump from DL to WLB and while the measurable say he should be able to do it, Its still a risk anytime you try and project a position change. I would like him better after a move down


So now it comes down to the 3 positions I think would make the most sense if they stay at 10. S, WR, CB all make a ton of sense for the Bills if they stay here.


CB: I’ll eliminate this position first. I think with the switch to a more zone heavy scheme it doesn’t make a whole lot of sense for the Bills to take one in the top 10. Conley would be a nice fit but sans Lattimore getting down here I don’t think the Bills will really consider it


S: Adams or Hooker make it here and I imagine the Bills are sprinting up to the podium and I think those two are the big reason they went around the country making their presence known with all the top QB’s. I can not see either making it down here. Of the Safeties left to me Peppers would make the most sense given the emphasis on versatility. Still if S is what they want it would be smart to move down from here given the depth of the position.


WR: This would be where I think the Bills go if they decide to stay at 10. They really don not have anything across from Watkins and he has been injury plagued through his short career so far. In the previous draft I had them going with J.Ross. In that draft however C.Davis was already off the board. He however is still on the board in this version. If he is I think he will be the selection at 10. I have Williams and Davis in a virtual tie as for who the number 1 WR is. They both have had injury issues in the past. That said I think Davis would be the better overall fit across from Watkins and would give them 2 legit number 1’s and cause numerous problems for opposing teams and a safety net in case Watkins cannot stay healthy


11.Saints: T.White, CB, LSU

12.Browns: M.Trubisky, QB, North Carolina

13.Cardinals: M.Williams, WR, Clemson

14.Eagles: J.Ross, WR, Washington

15.Colts: R.Foster, LB, Alabama

16.Ravens: C.McCaffrey, RB, Stanford

17.Redskins: H.Reddick, LB, Temple

18.Titans: M.Humphrey, CB, Alabama

19.Buccanears: G.Bolles, OT, Utah

20. Broncos: R.Ramczyk, OT, Wisconsin

21.Lions: Z.Cunningham, LB, Vandy

22.Dolphins: T.McKinley, DE, UCLA

23.Giants: D.Njoku, TE, Miami

24.Raiders: K.King, CB, Washington

25.Texans: D.Watson, QB, Clemson

26.Seahawks: M.McDowell, DT, Michigan State

27.Chiefs: P.Mahomes, QB, Texas Tech

28.Cowboys: J.Peppers, S, Michigan

29.Packers: A.Jackson, CB, USC

30.Steelers: TJ Watt, LB, Wisconsin

31.Falcons: Q.Wilson, CB, Florida

32.Saints: D.Barnett, DE, Tennessee

33.Browns: J.Davis, LB, Florida

34. 49ers: Z.Jones, WR, East Carolina

35.Jaguars: O.Melifonwu, S, UConn

36.Bears: D.Kizer, QB, Notre Dame

37.Rams: C.Robinson, OT, Alabama

38.Chargers: B.Baker, S, Washington

39.Jets: T.Charlton, DL, Michigan

40.Panthers: A.Kamara, RB, Tennessee

41.Bengals: D.Dawkins, OL, Temple

42.Saints: C.Samuel, WR/RB, Ohio State

43.Eagles: G.Conley, CB, Ohio State

44.Bills: M.Maye, S, Florida


-Again not an ideal situation for the Bills. Ideally they would want a LB or OT to fall to them here that is worthy of the spot. The consolation prize however is M.Maye from Florida. A Safety who is comfortable in both the free and strong spot and is always around the ball

Other Notes:


-As nearly everyone has said the Bills really need to add picks in this draft. They do currently have elite talent but it nose dives fast with the back end of the roster being very weak. They need to start to shore that up in this draft


-They are going to be tempted to reach for a OT but they should resist. Yes RT is a problem but it could become a bigger problem both there and through the roster if they start reaching for needs. Tyrod is mobile they will have to use that as well as Clay blocking ability to hide it


-Reddick is making more and more sense given how thin the position is. The Bills have to come out of this draft with at least one who could possibly start on day one and another one for depth. Yes they drafted Ragland last year but you are seeing with him the issue with drafting for scheme and why scheme fluid players hold more value.

Merk's 2017 Mock 1.0

Mike Watkins

4/16/17

@merk256


1.Browns- M.Garrett, DL, Texas A&M: To me the only thing left up in the air about this pick is what Number he will wear


2.49ers- M.Lattimore, CB, Ohio State: A lot of ways SF could go here and I can see a trade down. Lattimore makes the most sense however IMO


3.Bears- J.Adams, S, LSU: BPA meets need


4.Jaguars- L.Fournette, RB, LSU: This has been my projection since January, the fit makes a lot of sense


5.Titans- C.Davis, WR, W.Michigan: A lot of ways they could go here but I think Davis style fits the best with Mariota


6.Jets- OJ Howard, TE, Alabama They do not have a lot at TE and Howard could arguably the BPA


7.Chargers- F.Lamp, OL, W.Kentucky: Bottom Line they Chargers go as Rivers go and keeping him upright should be the top priority. Lamp is the best overall OL in the draft


8.Panthers- S.Thomas, DL, Stanford: I expect the Panthers to get back to their roots and select the top pass rusher on the board and for this mock its Thomas


9.Bengals- M.Hooker, S, Ohio State: Missed R.Nelson last year and Hooker give him that CF S


10.Bills-J.Ross, WR, Washington: If this is the way it falls to me the Bills have to try and move down aggressively, but I do not do trades in my mock’s. The first of 2 Mock’s I do leading up to the draft this is more outside the box thinking and that’s what this represents even though I do not think it’s that crazy of a notion. I have been of the opinion for awhile that the Bills are looking to add a deep threat across from Watkins as opposed to size. Here’s why,


1.A deep threat across from Watkins will draw everything down the field and open up Watkins who currently is the Bills best deep threat by a wide margin. This allows Watkins to work all of the field and makes him even tougher to cover


2.What Ross does best fits what Tyrod Does best. Tyrod’s best throw is his deep ball. If Ross can translate his Saturday game to Sunday his abilities and talents will be well used by Tyrod


3.It will improve the running game even further by moving the LB’s and S back off the LOS. This will give McCoy more room to maneuver once he gets past the first level.


4.The Bills have added some size at WR this offseason but really haven’t added anyone that would constitute a legit deep threat. Philly Brown would be the closest thing to that but he is not keep opposing defenses up at night. Listenbee is on the roster but is a day 3 pick who isn’t a lock to make the roster


5.R.Ramczyk is a name to keep an eye on here also. He is a ready made starter and the Bills have a massive hole at RT. He could fill it immediately. He’ll never be an all pro but he will be a good OT in the NFL for 10 years


11.Saints-T.White, CB, LSU

12.Browns- J.Allen, DL, Alabama

13.Cardinals-O.Melifonwu, S, UConn

14.Eagles-R.Foster, LB, Alabama

15.Colts-T.McKinley, DE, UCLA

16.Ravens-M.Williams, WR, Clemson

17.Redskins-C.McCaffrey, RB, Stanford

18.Titans-G.Conley, CB, Ohio State

19.Buccanears-D.Njoku, TE, Miami

20.Broncos-G.Bolles, OL, Utah

21.Lions-B.Baker, S, Washington

22.Miami-J.Cunningham, LB, Vanderbilt

23.Giants-D.Cook, RB, FSU

24.Raiders-J.Peppers, S, Michigan

25.Texans-M.Trubisky, QB, North Carolina

26.Seahawks-R.Ramczyk, OT, Wisconsin

27.Chiefs-D.Watson, QB, Clemson

28.Cowboys-M.Humphrey, CB, Alabama

29.Packers-A.Jackson, CB, USC

30.Steelers-T.J. Watt, LB, Wisconsin

31.Falcons-H.Reddick, DL, Temple

32.Saints-D.Barnett, DE, Tenn

Mike's Final 2014 Mock

1.Houston: J.Clowney, DE, South Carolina
2.St.Louis: G.Robinson, OT, Auburn
3.Jacksonville: K.Mack, LB, Buffalo
4.Cleveland: S.Watkins, WR, Clemson
5.Oakland: M.Evans, WR, Texas A&M
6.Atlanta: T.Lewan, OT, Michigan
7.Tampa Bay: J.Matthews, OT, Texas A&M
8.Minnesota: B.Bortles, QB, UCF
9.Buffalo: O.Beckham Jr., WR, LSU
10.Detroit: E.Ebron, TE, North Carolina

11.Tennessee: K.Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech
12.NY Giants: A.Donald, DT, Pittsburgh
13.St.Louis: H.Clinton-Dix, S, Alabama
14.Chicago: J.Gilbert, CB, Oklahoma St
15.Pittsburgh: Z.Martin, OT, Notre Dame
16.Dallas: A.Barr, LB, UCLA
17.Baltimore: B.Cooks, WR, Oregon St
18.NY Jets: C.Pryor, S, Louisville
19.Miami: C.Kouandjio, OT, Alabama
20.Arizona: J.Manziel, QB, Texas A&M
21.Green Bay: CJ Mosley, LB, Alabama
22.Philadelphia: D.Ford, LB, Auburn
23.Kansas City: M.Lee, WR, USC
24.Cincinnati: J.Ward, S, N.Illinois
25.San Diego: A.Dennard, CB, Michigan St
26.Cleveland: D.Carr, QB, Fresno St
27.New Orleans: J.Matthews, WR, Vanderbilt
28.Carolina: M.Moses, OT, Virginia
29.New England: R.Hageman, DL, Minnesota
30.San Francisco: C.Latimer, WR, Indiana
31.Denver: R.Shazier, LB, Ohio State
32.Seattle: L.Nix, DL, Notre Dame

Bills Pick

-From what I've been told the offensive staff is really high on Beckham. They have been all over him for most of the draft season. They went to LSU pro day, interviewed him at the Combine, and had him visit One Bills drive. He also makes an immediate impact on Special Teams which the Bills made a point of upgrading

-What would the Beckham bring to the Bills? First and foremost he brings an immediate impact to Special Teams unit. This means improved field position and possible points. From a WR point of view it’s hard to understand why the Bills would add him after drafting two high last year and then trading for Mike Williams. The Bills may be going for an overload at the position. In a passing league if you can go 4 or 5 quality WR’s deep you can really test an opposing teams depth at CB. That can turn into a big advantage and an even bigger one if the opposing team has even one injury at the CB position

-I think OT will be a strong consideration if the Board falls a certain way. Problem is I keep coming back to the same thing every time I put an OT to the Bills at 9, Marrone believes he can coach up the OL and won’t want to use a high draft pick on one

-Which OT is pretty easily logically deduced. They don't think Robinson will make it down to them, Lewan was never brought in for a visit so I think you can say not interested. So you are left with Matthews who did visit and Martin who no one thought was a possibility at 9 until Mayock mentioned him for the Bills. Both are instant day 1 starters and an upgrade over the current incumbent E.Pears

-I think the only way the Bills move up is if Watkins or Robinson make it to 5 or 6

-I think Fans for the most part have become to consumed with adding draft picks in a trade down. Yes the additional picks can be beneficial. However it gets to a point where you are sacrificing better talent for more options. The Bills roster is as talented as it’s been in years. The depth is there and now it’s time to add one or two pieces and make a run

Rest of the Draft

-I really hope the NFL reconsiders keeping the draft in May. The Process is already drawn out way to far to begin with

-I think rotating the draft around the NFL cities is a good idea. New York is New York but for cities that will never get a Super Bowl this would be a consolation prize. I really think some of these smaller market teams would really embrace it and make it a week long festival that the local economy would enjoy

-Placing the QBs in the first is the hardest part of this years draft. So much talent at other positions and you can still see a lot of the remnants of the teams that reached big time on QBs in 2011 and got burned

-Raiders are the Raiders, completely unpredictable and the hardest team to gauge each year

-I really like K.Fuller, I think he is the best CB in the draft

-I didn't forecast any trades but I imagine there will be a good amount, especially teams jockeying for QBs

-Everyone looks at the amount of picks the 49ers have and think it’s an asset but the reality is with a team as deep and talented as their roster is, the draft picks don’t mean all that much. I would expect them to look to start consolidating the picks

-It’s amazing the devaluation of the RB and ILB positions in this league. Look back at past draft over the 10 years, specifically the first round, and you will see teams blatantly say they can find those players anywhere

Mike's Mock 1.0

Mike Watkins

(Twitter: @merk256 )

3/28/14

This is the first of my two Mock Drafts. The other Mock will be posted in the week leading up to the draft. I assume no trades and this is what I think teams will do not what I would do

1.Houston Texans: B.Bortles, QB, Central Florida-Is he the best player in the draft? No, but he plays the most important position in the draft and fits the style that O’Brien looks for in QB’s. Bortles to me is the front runner to go #1 right now

2.St.Louis Rams: S.Watkins, WR, Clemson- As much as an OT would make sense I can’t see them passing on a playmaker like Watkins. T.Austin was the pick last year but he needs to be in open space to make an impact. You add Watkins and that will free him up even more

3.Jacksonville Jaguars: T.Bridgewater, QB, Louisville- There will be a lot of tempting players at this spot but the reality is the Jaguars don’t have a single QB on the current roster that you would want being a 16 game starter. Bridgewater is the top QB in this class in my opinion and I can’t see the Jags passing on him

4.Cleveland Browns: J.Clowney, DE, South Carolina- Most people are thinking QB here but I think Pettine sees Clowney as a player that he can use much like he did with Mario Williams last year in Buffalo. You can line him up almost anywhere and he will cause havoc. I think Pettine first goal in Cleveland is to make the defense elite and Clowney could put them were they want to be with that

5.Oakland Raiders: K.Mack, LB, Buffalo- Ah yes, the Raiders, always one of the toughest teams to peg in the draft year in and year out. This year though if the top 5 fall like I have above this selection should be a no brainer. Mack is a versatile playmaker that would be in an instant shot in the arm for a Raiders team looking for an identity and a player to build around

6.Atlanta Falcons: C.Robinson, OT, Auburn-I think this pick is between Clowney, Mack, and Robinson. Robinson is the player still left on the board and the need matches the value. I’ve never been a big Sam Baker fan and I imagine they would kick him to the right side and hope they have selected their franchise LT in Robinson for the next 12 years.

7.Tampa Bay Buccaneers: J.Matthews, OT, Texas A&M- Tampa Bay continues the overhauling of their Offensive Line with the selection of Matthews. With NFL bloodlines and the ability to play either side of the line Matthews would get Tampa moving in the right direction in the revamping. I imagine E.Ebron will get some strong consideration here as well

8.Minnesota Vikings: E.Ebron, TE, North Carolina- The Vikings are in a really tough spot at 8. They value here is not any of their needs. What this really comes down to is how they feel about Manziel. I’m starting to think that they don’t have that strong an opinion on him and that they can get a QB with similar talent, such as Carr, in the second round. Ebron adds another weapon to a very weak spot on their roster to help whatever QB is under center in 2014

9.Buffalo Bills: M.Evans, WR, Texas A&M- The Bills have a couple of different way they go here. I personally would liked to have gone defense because I think they right way to build this team around Manuel is to have a top 5 D supporting him so it reduces the amount of plays he has to make. By process of elimination let’s look at my thought process that leads me to the Bills Selecting Evans.

On Defense you have a place on each level where a talented player could be added. On the DL the Bills could use a DE that is a better fit for Schwartz defense but there isn’t one left that really is worth a top 10 pick. OLB could still be considered a need but Barr doesn’t fit the defense and this would be a little high for any of Mosley, Shazier, and Van Noy. CB you have a player that is worth it value wise in Gilbert but I feel the Bills are happy with their current group of CB’s. At least happy enough where they won’t spend a top 10 pick on one. That leaves Safety, this is the dark horse position for the Bills here as much as its fan base doesn’t want to hear it. Clinton-Dix and Pryor are not top 10 picks but they are not far off either. The Bills coaches and front office say they are high on Williams and Meeks but that could all just be lip service. That said I don’t think this is the direction they will go at 9

That moves the selection to the other side of the ball. You have a couple of options that I imagine the Bills will consider. Those options are OT, WR, OG, and TE. With Ebron already off the board I think it’s safe to say you can remove the TE option. I don’t see an anyway possible an OG is the pick so that is off the board. That brings us to OT, both the need and the value are there with Lewan on the board. The drop off is also significant to the next OT on the board. The issue is however two fold. The first one is the lesson from free agency and the signing of C.Williams. Williams has been considered a bust his entire career and the Bills signed him to a bit of a head scratcher deal. The deal was struck because Marrone said himself he believes he can coach Williams up and out of the bust label. This is important when it comes to the draft. If Marrone believes he can take lesser talent and coach it up Bills fans should really ever expect the Bills to draft an OL very high in the draft. They, and specifically Marrone, believe they can hold off on the position due to his ability as a coach. Is that smart strategy, that’s debatable given the disaster of the LG position last year. When it comes to the draft though I wouldn’t think the Bills will even consider an OL until round 3 at the earliest.

The next issue would be where Whaley’s background and where he came up from as a scout. He comes from a system in Pittsburgh and a GM in Nix where Best Player Available(BPA) takes precedent, especially in the first round. In this system certain positions hold greater weight than others. All skill positions are going to outweigh what are considered non skill positions. In this case the impact of a WR is going to outweigh that of a RT. If Whaley, and we don’t know his true philosophy yet considering this is his first draft in the captains chair, is beholden to this line of draft Philosophy then he will take a WR over a OT nearly every single time

Now that leads us to WR and the selection of Mike Evans. I’m personally not that high on Mike Evans. I think his lack of route running ability is really going to be an issue for him especially early in his career. I think this whole “High Pointing” and “Contested Catches” ability has been way over blown by media and fans alike. They are luxury skills that account for about 5% of a WR receptions in a given year. The red zone argument is also a false reality as a reasoning because again the amount of contested receptions in that area in reality is far lower than the perception of how many are made.

That said the Bills have made it pretty clear they would like a receiving option with some size on the roster. They have been sniffing around a WR or two in Free Agency that would give them that. Evans would provide the size and has the ceiling the Bills would want in a first round WR. Throw him into the mix with Stevie, Woods, and Goodwin and that gives the Bills a great mix of depth and skill sets for EJ Manuel to work with.

If the Bills can tap into Evans Physical gifts and improve him as a route runner(This is where having one of if not the best route runner in the game in S.Johnson comes in handy) then the sky is the limit for Evans. The things I like about Evans are his aggressive nature playing the position of WR on top of very good hands. Evans has the makings of a number one WR but he is going to take some time to get there. Given where the Bills are with their current group of WR’s they can allow Evans to grow into the position and not put it all on him from day 1.

Now with that said, if this selection is made with the intent of green lighting a S.Johnson trade than I am not for this selection at all in any way. I believe this selection should be made with the intent of keeping Stevie and dropping a player like TJ Graham down the depth chart or straight off the roster. Again as stated before, adding Evans to this WR group makes it borderline elite with potential. Adding Evans and taking away Johnson, strips the Bills of that gain.

Trading down: If the draft falls this way some will want to trade down. Problem with that is that with the draft being this deep, most teams will want to go down and not up. That will make it very difficult to get teams to part with any type of valuable draft pick to go down a couple slots.   

10.Detroit Lions: Justin Gilbert, CB, Oklahoma State- To me this is a no brainer pick where value meets need. The Lions have had trouble with the CB position for what seems like forever. Gilbert is the most complete CB in the draft and should start from day one to finally shore up this position on the Lions

11. Tennessee Titans: A.Barr, LB, UCLA- The Titans can go a number of different ways here. Barr however is an excellent fit for new DC Ray Horton's scheme. Barr could start immediately and have an impact under Horton

12.New York Giants: T.Lewan, OT, Michigan- The Giants want out of this spot but if they stay Jerry Reese is a BPA drafter through and through. Rumor is he is high on both Ebron and Evans, but both are gone at this point. Lewan getting down to here would be to tough for them to pass on as they are in the middle of rebuilding their OL

13.St.Louis Rams: H.Clinton-Dix, S, Alabama- The Safety spot has been an issue for awhile for the Rams. Pryor could also be the pick here but I think Fisher would prefer a center fielder type who can cover TE's and slot WR. Clinton-Dix fits that. If the Rams can come out of day 1 with the top WR and arguably the top Safety it would be a home run.

14.Chicago Bears: A.Dennard, CB, Michigan State- The Bears defense is in the midst of an overhaul. So I imagine this will be the highest rated defensive player on the board no matter the position. Ideally the Bears would like a DL to be the top guy on the board here but I don't see that being the case. Dennard to me is the guy and it fills a need

15.Pittsburgh Steelers: L.Nix, DT, Notre Dame- Pittsburgh calling card has always been defense and last year it took a bit of a step back. The D misses C.Hampton in the worst way and getting in my opinion the top rated DT at 15 who could be in the rotation from day 1 would be a good get for the Steelers 

16.Dallas Cowboys: A.Donald, DT, Pittsburgh- Jerry Jones is quickly becoming the new Al Davis when it comes to the draft. He's going to take players he wants when he wants. Despite Donald stock rising faster than any other player I still think this is too high for him. The reality is though for the Tampa 2 to work correctly you really need to have a disruptive 3 tech. Donald has flashed the skill set to be that player

17.Baltimore Ravens: K.Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech- Ozzie Newsome is another BPA drafter, question is, who would he have as the highest player on the board at this point? That's anyone's guess but I'm going to go with Fuller here. It's not the biggest current need but the bottom could drop out on the position for Ravens over the next couple of years

18.New York Jets: C.Pryor, S, Louisville- Rex will always want to keep his defense stocked with talent and with the talent they lost at CB a talented Safety could go a long way in helping making a smooth transition with the new CB's. I would see a WR here or maybe an OL, but again the Jets are built on a dominating defense and an offense that does just enough.

19.Miami Dolphins: Z.Martin, OT/OG, Notre Dame- Dolphins needed 4 new OL starters when the offseason began. They landed one in B.Albert and adding Martin provides them with options at both OT and OG depending on where they need him the most

20.Arizona Cardinals: D.Ford, OLB/DE, Auburn-Abraham had a good 2013 but it's only a matter of time before the bottom drops out on him. Having Ford on board could lessen that blow

21.Green Bay Packers: M.Lee, WR, USC- I could see defense here but I think Lee will be too good to pass up. The Packers are built on a "our offense and QB are better than yours" philosophy. The more weapons at Rodgers disposal the better

22. Philadelphia Eagles: R.Hageman, DT/DE, Minnesota- The transition to a 3-4 continues. Hageman gives the Eagles options at both the 0 and the 5 tech. They can score points with some of the best offenses in the league but until they can stop opposing teams it will limit their ceiling

23.Kansas City Chiefs: B.Cooks, WR, Oregon State- Bowe is a good possession WR and Cooks will add the explosion dynamic to the offense. Cooks should be a good fit in Andy Reid's system

24.Cincinnati Bengals: X.Su'a-Filo, OG, UCLA- I imagine the Bengals want to move Whitworth back out to LT. With that move it leaves a big gaping hole at OG. Su'-Filo fills that immediately.

25.San Diego Chargers: B.Roby, CB, Ohio State- I think this is way too high for Roby and I see him more as a safety. That said a lot of teams see him as a CB and a 1st rounder

26.Cleveland Browns: J.Manziel, QB, Texas A&M- I don't see the Browns liking Manziel enough to take him top 5. Down here however, I think the Browns pull the trigger.

27.New Orleans Saints: K.Ealy, DE/OLB, Missouri- Ealy is the type of pass rusher the Ryan defense likes. He's comfortable both with his hand on the dirt, kick inside, or from a two point stance

28.Carolina Panthers: J.Verrett, CB, TCU- Most have a WR earmarked for here but I think they will hold off for that addition

29.New England Patriots: T.Jernigan, DT, FSU- Patriots added massive upgrades at the CB spot in free agency and now the pass rush from up the middle will get a shot in the arm

30. San Francisco 49ers: K.Benjamin, WR, FSU- 49ers continue their search for young WR to pair with Crabtree.

31.Denver Broncos: CJ Mosley, LB, Alabama- Defense, defense, and more defense for the Broncos. They have the offense and they need players that can start immediately during Manning’s last year or two max

32.Seattle Seahawks: O.Beckham Jr, WR, LSU- Lot of ways Seattle could go here. The defense comes back mostly intact. Beckham gives the Seahawks more explosion on offense to get them back to the big game.


Other Thoughts

-I expect there to be a real heavy run on WRs in the 2nd and early third. If that's the case and the Bills who already took a WR in round one should be prime to cash in on another position. I see LB and DE being the target in round two if the Bills go WR in round 1

-The wild card in this draft for the Bills is the DE spot. Mario Williams is locked in at one spot but outside of him there are some serious questions marks. Lawson and Hughes are ok fits for Schwartz defense but mostly on passing downs. Lawson was good at run defense in Pettiness system at LB, at DE in Schwartz system however it's a different ball game. I've seen some mention Branch at DE because he played it in Pettiness system. In this system Branch exclusively a DT and will not play DE unless of an emergency situation. With questions at both starting DE and depth I could easily see the Bills drafting two DE

-DT is also another dark horse position. In either this year or next year’s draft the Bills should start to find a replacement for life after Kyle Williams

-The Bills need to take advantage of a very deep draft at the OG spot. I know Marrone thinks he can coach players up but given the talent in this draft at that position he should take a good player and make him great rather than an average player and make him above average

-I wouldn’t mind the Bills taking a flier on a QB in day 3. Two names I would like would be either A.Murray or T.Savage.