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PFWR Mock

admarc's Final 2017

Merk's Mock 2.0 2017

1. Cleveland Browns
2016 record: 1-15 (.549)
Top needs: QB, Edge, DB

Myles Garrett    DE  6-4, 272    Texas A&M

QB can wait. Hands down the number 1 prospect in this draft. Instant Impact

2. San Francisco 49ers
2016 record: 2-14 (.504)
Top needs: QB, Edge, OL

Solomon Thomas  Edge   6-3, 273       Stanford

Another QB needy team better served by going BPA and a Pass Rusher and they can find it in their own backyard.
3. Chicago Bears
2016 record: 3-13 (.521)
Top needs: DB, OL, TE

Jamal Adams  FS    6-0, 214      LSU

Bears add an enforcer for the back end of their D.
4. Jacksonville Jaguars
2016 record: 3-13 (.527)
Top needs: TE, DT, OL

Leonard Fournette  RB   6-0, 240         LSU

A true feature back with rare power and speed combo to take pressure off QB.

5. Tennessee Titans (from LA Rams)
2016 record: 9-7 (.465)
Top needs: CB, WR, ILB

Marshon Lattimore    CB    6-0, 193    Ohio State

Titans need to add depth to their secondary and add a lock-down one in drafts top Corner

6. New York Jets
2016 record: 5-11 (.518)
Top needs: QB, OLB, CB

Mitchell Trubisky   QB   6-2, 222 North Carolina

Jets have their pick of QB's. They have been rumored to be enamored with Trubisky going back to December reports by Manesh Mehta.

7. Los Angeles Chargers
2016 record: 5-11 (.543)
Top needs: S, WR, DE, OG

Malik Hooker    FS   6-1, 205         Ohio State

Chargers look to replace Eric Weddle with a play-making Safety. Hooker's recent surgeries shouldn't cause him to miss the start of the season or slip out of the top 10.

8. Carolina Panthers
2016 record: 6-10 (.518)
Top needs: OT, DE, RB

Christian McCaffrey RB  5-11, 202         Stanford

McCaffrey would add a new dimension to the Panther offense and take some pressure off Cam.
9. Cincinnati Bengals
2016 record: 6-9-1 (.521)
Top needs: OL, LB, Edge

Jonathan Allen   DE       6-3, 286          Alabama

Bengals would be happy to see one of the Nations best pass rushers slip to them here.
10. Buffalo Bills
2016 record: 7-9 (.482)
Top needs: DB, WR, OT, LB, QB

Jabrill Peppers  SS    5-11, 213         Michigan

Peppers has the versatility McDermott covets. The dynamic S, can slip in the box in Nickle and Dime packages, return kicks and play any spot in the secondary. A trade down would better match value but they would be OK taking him at 10. Wildcard is Watson, but they would be better served waiting on QB. Howard would be another intriguing option.

11. New Orleans Saints
2016 record: 7-9 (.523)
Top needs: DB, LB, WR

Reuben Foster                  LB            6-0, 229         Alabama

If injury and character concerns are answered, Foster may end up the being the best defensive player in this draft. Fills a major need to add an enforcer to the middle of the Saints D.

12. Cleveland Browns
2016 record: 1-15 (.549)
Top needs: QB, Edge, DB


Deshaun Watson                       QB           6-3, 210         Clemson


This would be a dream scenario for Cleveland to sit tight and address QB here at 12. Watson is a proven winner, something Browns desperately need. Accuracy and arm strength issues will need to be managed but you couldn't ask for better intangibles or resume.


13. Arizona Cardinals
2016 record: 7-8-1 (.463)
Top needs: ILB, QB, DB, WR

Mike Williams                WR          6-4, 218          Clemson

Williams can learn from Larry Fitzgerald stepping in immediately for recently released Michael Floyd for a year before stepping in as WR1.

14. Philadelphia Eagles

2016 record: 7-9 (.559)
Top needs: CB, RB, DE, WR


Gareon Conley                 CB           6-0, 195         Ohio State


Conley could fill a big void in Philadelphia and would be a day 1 starter.


15. Indianapolis Colts
2016 record: 8-8 (.492)
Top needs: OL, DL, RB

Derek Barnett                 DE          6-3, 260          Tennessee

Colts anemic pass rush adds an explosive edge rusher.

16. Baltimore Ravens
2016 record: 8-8 (.498)
Top needs: OLB, WR, CB


Haason Reddick
             OLB          6-2, 237         Temple

Ravens find a perfect fit for their D and the heir apparent for Terrell Suggs when he decides to retire.

17. Washington Redskins
2016 record: 8-7-1 (.516)
Top needs: ILB, S, RB, QB, WR

John Ross                        WR         5-11, 188          Washington

Ross would join FA signee Terrelle Pryor to step into the void left by the Desean Jackson and Pierre Garcon departures.

18. Tennessee Titans
2016 record: 9-7 (.465)
Top needs: CB, WR, ILB

OJ Howard                        TE           6-6, 250          Alabama

This would be a steal if Howard drops here. He would add a new dynamic to the Titans attack and give Mariota a big target to help him further develop

19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2016 record: 9-7 (.492)
Top needs: DL, S, RB

Dalvin Cook                     RB          5-11, 210         Florida State

Bucs go to Florida State well again to find a feature back to pair with Winston.

20. Denver Broncos
2016 record: 9-7 (.549)
Top needs: OT, ILB, DE

Ryan Ramczyk                OT          6-6, 310          Wisconsin

Ramczyk is clear number 1 Tackle in a weak class. Fills a need and good value if he slips here.

21. Detroit Lions
2016 record: 9-7 (.475)
Top needs: Pass rusher, LB, WR

Corey Davis                    WR           6-3, 210          Western Michigan

Lions add a dynamic reciever for Stafford. If Davis can get and stays healthy, he could end up being best WR in this draft. Especially with a QB like Stafford.

22. Miami Dolphins
2016 record: 10-6 (.455)
Top needs: LB, OG, CB

Marlon Humphrey         CB           6-1, 200         Alabama

Dolphins have spent tons in FA so can go BPA which would be Humphrey here.

23. New York Giants
2016 record: 11-5 (.486)
Top needs: LT, MLB, QB

Garrett Bolles                   OT           6-5, 295          Utah

True LT prospect fills Giant need.
24. Oakland Raiders
2016 record: 12-4 (.504)
Top needs: MLB, DT, CB

Jarrad Davis                    LB            6-1, 240         Florida

Mack on the Edge, Davis in the Middle. Look out.

25. Houston Texans
2016 record: 9-7 (.502)
Top needs: QB, OL, LB

Patrick Mahomes                   QB          6-2, 225          Texas Tech

A huge sigh of relief would be heard across Texas if Mahomes makes it to the Texans. The raw gunslinger would find himself on a playoff team where he can be brought along slowly. I see a young Brett Favre on the field for all the good and bad reasons. He'll be fun to watch.

26. Seattle Seahawks
2016 record: 10-5-1 (.441)
Top needs: OT, DT, CB

Cam Robinson                OT           6-6, 322          Alabama

Robinson is probably better suited at RT than LT, but Seahawks could use upgrades on both sides.

27. Kansas City Chiefs
2016 record: 12-4 (.508)
Top needs: ILB, DL, CB

Takkarist McKinley         OLB         6-2, 250          UCLA

Not an immediate need but you can never have enough pass rushers. Ford is in his last year of contract and Hali is 33, so McKinley can be used immediately in rotation and groomed for larger role next season w/ Houston and Hali.

28. Dallas Cowboys
2016 record: 13-3 (.471)
Top needs: DB, DE, TE

Obi Melifonwu                  FS           6-4, 224         UCONN
Long athletic Safety fills major need.

29. Green Bay Packers
2016 record: 10-6 (.508)
Top needs: CB, Edge, RB

Charles Harris                 DE           6-3, 255          Missouri

Packers need to add a pass rusher to their D. Harris is generating some late draft buzz.

30. Pittsburgh Steelers
2016 record: 11-5 (.494)
Top needs: ILB, OLB, WR

David Njoku                    TE           6-4, 245          Miami

Njoku could be a valuable weapon paired with Brown and Bell and would be a good complement to  Jesse James.

31. Atlanta Falcons
2016 record: 11-5 (.480)
Top needs: OG, DE, DT

Dan Feeney                     OG          6-4, 305          Indiana

Falcons would have their pick at IOL.

32. New Orleans Saints
2016 record: 7-9 (.523)
Top needs: DB, LB, WR

Budda Baker                    FS          5-10, 195          Washington

WR is a possibility but Baker is a top 20 draft talent who slips because talent is so elite at S up top.

Lance Zierline's team draft needs used as source.

Mike Watkins

@merk256

4-25-17



1.Browns: M.Garrett, DL, Texas A&M: I’m not saying he’s a lock but the Browns pretty much have to take him



2.49ers: J.Adams, S, LSU: They have one LSU Safety and I think they will add another. The Secondary is lacking talent across the board and Adams will fit nicely


3.Bears: M.Lattimore, CB, Ohio State: The Bears have been swinging and missing on a lot of CB’s and I think they will keep doing so until they hit. Lattimore has separated himself and I think the Bears finally hit


4.Jaguars: L.Fournette, RB, LSU: I have said this will be their selection since December. No reason to change it now


5.Titans: M.Hooker, S, Ohio State: I think they want Adams but Hooker will be a nice consolation prize


6.Jets: OJ Howard, TE, Alabama: They have nothing at the position and whatever young QB they toss out there Howard would be a nice asset


7.Chargers: F.Lamp, OL, Western Kentucky: Most will look at this as a reach but he’s the best OL in this draft and its not close. Keeping Rivers upright is the key to any Chargers success


8.Panthers: S.Thomas, DL, Panthers: I see a lot of McCaffrey here but I think the Panthers return to their roots and make the front 7 the identity of the team again


9.Bengals: J.Allen, DL, Alabama: Bengals tend to stay BPA and you can argue need here also


10.Bills: So realistically if it plays out like this I would expect the Bills to aggressively look to move down. The reality is they need more draft picks to fill out the roster. What they are looking for can be found in the teens and while adding some more selections.


Like I said in the previous mock id be more interested in Quanity over quality of picks. Making that move will not likely be easy given the fact of how deep the draft is. They do have some things working in their favor in that the Browns are two picks away and likely to take a QB. The Saints are likely to swipe a CB off the board so a team looking to hop them may be in play. So lets run down the positions


QB: I wouldn’t blame them if they did take a QB. The reality is you are spinning your wheels as a franchise until you feel you have the guy. I do not think they will be selecting one though. The visits to me were to try and get a team to move up ahead of them and push some players down. The QB class next year both from a possible FA standpoint and draft standpoint is looking to be so much better that the smart play would be to roll with Taylor and see what happens. Still if they do decide to pull the trigger I think it would be Trubisky.


RB: I just can not see them taking an RB. If they did I would think it would be McCaffrey and id be pretty happy with the player but not so much the position


TE: With Howard off the board I think this position because far less in play. Njoku would be a good fit for the Bills but I think he would be in the cluster of players they would look for after a move down.


OL: Again I don’t think there is a player worth taking at 10. An OT could be in play after a move down and it would be the logical position given the massive hole the Bills have at the position. Bolles seems to be the best fit for them to make an immediate impact


DL: Unless S.Thomas makes it down to 10 I can not seeing this being a serious consideration


LB: A guy like R.Foster would make a lot of sense but the issue is McDermott has made a lot of comments about character. Foster could not even keep it together for the 4 months before the draft. Are the Bills going to trust him to keep it together offseason after offseason? I tend to think not.

H.Reddick is an interesting name that has been linked to Buffalo. Reddick is definitely a playmaker but he is making a jump from DL to WLB and while the measurable say he should be able to do it, Its still a risk anytime you try and project a position change. I would like him better after a move down


So now it comes down to the 3 positions I think would make the most sense if they stay at 10. S, WR, CB all make a ton of sense for the Bills if they stay here.


CB: I’ll eliminate this position first. I think with the switch to a more zone heavy scheme it doesn’t make a whole lot of sense for the Bills to take one in the top 10. Conley would be a nice fit but sans Lattimore getting down here I don’t think the Bills will really consider it


S: Adams or Hooker make it here and I imagine the Bills are sprinting up to the podium and I think those two are the big reason they went around the country making their presence known with all the top QB’s. I can not see either making it down here. Of the Safeties left to me Peppers would make the most sense given the emphasis on versatility. Still if S is what they want it would be smart to move down from here given the depth of the position.


WR: This would be where I think the Bills go if they decide to stay at 10. They really don not have anything across from Watkins and he has been injury plagued through his short career so far. In the previous draft I had them going with J.Ross. In that draft however C.Davis was already off the board. He however is still on the board in this version. If he is I think he will be the selection at 10. I have Williams and Davis in a virtual tie as for who the number 1 WR is. They both have had injury issues in the past. That said I think Davis would be the better overall fit across from Watkins and would give them 2 legit number 1’s and cause numerous problems for opposing teams and a safety net in case Watkins cannot stay healthy


11.Saints: T.White, CB, LSU

12.Browns: M.Trubisky, QB, North Carolina

13.Cardinals: M.Williams, WR, Clemson

14.Eagles: J.Ross, WR, Washington

15.Colts: R.Foster, LB, Alabama

16.Ravens: C.McCaffrey, RB, Stanford

17.Redskins: H.Reddick, LB, Temple

18.Titans: M.Humphrey, CB, Alabama

19.Buccanears: G.Bolles, OT, Utah

20. Broncos: R.Ramczyk, OT, Wisconsin

21.Lions: Z.Cunningham, LB, Vandy

22.Dolphins: T.McKinley, DE, UCLA

23.Giants: D.Njoku, TE, Miami

24.Raiders: K.King, CB, Washington

25.Texans: D.Watson, QB, Clemson

26.Seahawks: M.McDowell, DT, Michigan State

27.Chiefs: P.Mahomes, QB, Texas Tech

28.Cowboys: J.Peppers, S, Michigan

29.Packers: A.Jackson, CB, USC

30.Steelers: TJ Watt, LB, Wisconsin

31.Falcons: Q.Wilson, CB, Florida

32.Saints: D.Barnett, DE, Tennessee

33.Browns: J.Davis, LB, Florida

34. 49ers: Z.Jones, WR, East Carolina

35.Jaguars: O.Melifonwu, S, UConn

36.Bears: D.Kizer, QB, Notre Dame

37.Rams: C.Robinson, OT, Alabama

38.Chargers: B.Baker, S, Washington

39.Jets: T.Charlton, DL, Michigan

40.Panthers: A.Kamara, RB, Tennessee

41.Bengals: D.Dawkins, OL, Temple

42.Saints: C.Samuel, WR/RB, Ohio State

43.Eagles: G.Conley, CB, Ohio State

44.Bills: M.Maye, S, Florida


-Again not an ideal situation for the Bills. Ideally they would want a LB or OT to fall to them here that is worthy of the spot. The consolation prize however is M.Maye from Florida. A Safety who is comfortable in both the free and strong spot and is always around the ball

Other Notes:


-As nearly everyone has said the Bills really need to add picks in this draft. They do currently have elite talent but it nose dives fast with the back end of the roster being very weak. They need to start to shore that up in this draft


-They are going to be tempted to reach for a OT but they should resist. Yes RT is a problem but it could become a bigger problem both there and through the roster if they start reaching for needs. Tyrod is mobile they will have to use that as well as Clay blocking ability to hide it


-Reddick is making more and more sense given how thin the position is. The Bills have to come out of this draft with at least one who could possibly start on day one and another one for depth. Yes they drafted Ragland last year but you are seeing with him the issue with drafting for scheme and why scheme fluid players hold more value.

Merk's Mock 1.0 2017

Mike Watkins

4/16/17

@merk256


1.Browns- M.Garrett, DL, Texas A&M: To me the only thing left up in the air about this pick is what Number he will wear


2.49ers- M.Lattimore, CB, Ohio State: A lot of ways SF could go here and I can see a trade down. Lattimore makes the most sense however IMO


3.Bears- J.Adams, S, LSU: BPA meets need


4.Jaguars- L.Fournette, RB, LSU: This has been my projection since January, the fit makes a lot of sense


5.Titans- C.Davis, WR, W.Michigan: A lot of ways they could go here but I think Davis style fits the best with Mariota


6.Jets- OJ Howard, TE, Alabama They do not have a lot at TE and Howard could arguably the BPA


7.Chargers- F.Lamp, OL, W.Kentucky: Bottom Line they Chargers go as Rivers go and keeping him upright should be the top priority. Lamp is the best overall OL in the draft


8.Panthers- S.Thomas, DL, Stanford: I expect the Panthers to get back to their roots and select the top pass rusher on the board and for this mock its Thomas


9.Bengals- M.Hooker, S, Ohio State: Missed R.Nelson last year and Hooker give him that CF S


10.Bills-J.Ross, WR, Washington: If this is the way it falls to me the Bills have to try and move down aggressively, but I do not do trades in my mock’s. The first of 2 Mock’s I do leading up to the draft this is more outside the box thinking and that’s what this represents even though I do not think it’s that crazy of a notion. I have been of the opinion for awhile that the Bills are looking to add a deep threat across from Watkins as opposed to size. Here’s why,


1.A deep threat across from Watkins will draw everything down the field and open up Watkins who currently is the Bills best deep threat by a wide margin. This allows Watkins to work all of the field and makes him even tougher to cover


2.What Ross does best fits what Tyrod Does best. Tyrod’s best throw is his deep ball. If Ross can translate his Saturday game to Sunday his abilities and talents will be well used by Tyrod


3.It will improve the running game even further by moving the LB’s and S back off the LOS. This will give McCoy more room to maneuver once he gets past the first level.


4.The Bills have added some size at WR this offseason but really haven’t added anyone that would constitute a legit deep threat. Philly Brown would be the closest thing to that but he is not keep opposing defenses up at night. Listenbee is on the roster but is a day 3 pick who isn’t a lock to make the roster


5.R.Ramczyk is a name to keep an eye on here also. He is a ready made starter and the Bills have a massive hole at RT. He could fill it immediately. He’ll never be an all pro but he will be a good OT in the NFL for 10 years


11.Saints-T.White, CB, LSU

12.Browns- J.Allen, DL, Alabama

13.Cardinals-O.Melifonwu, S, UConn

14.Eagles-R.Foster, LB, Alabama

15.Colts-T.McKinley, DE, UCLA

16.Ravens-M.Williams, WR, Clemson

17.Redskins-C.McCaffrey, RB, Stanford

18.Titans-G.Conley, CB, Ohio State

19.Buccanears-D.Njoku, TE, Miami

20.Broncos-G.Bolles, OL, Utah

21.Lions-B.Baker, S, Washington

22.Miami-J.Cunningham, LB, Vanderbilt

23.Giants-D.Cook, RB, FSU

24.Raiders-J.Peppers, S, Michigan

25.Texans-M.Trubisky, QB, North Carolina

26.Seahawks-R.Ramczyk, OT, Wisconsin

27.Chiefs-D.Watson, QB, Clemson

28.Cowboys-M.Humphrey, CB, Alabama

29.Packers-A.Jackson, CB, USC

30.Steelers-T.J. Watt, LB, Wisconsin

31.Falcons-H.Reddick, DL, Temple

32.Saints-D.Barnett, DE, Tenn